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Davis Market Rocks: 79 Pendings in April

Wow!  Slow to start and then it came all at once…during April there have been 79 sales and pendings in Davis!  There are 145 listed single family homes…meaning that we have just slightly less than a 2 month supply of homes in Davis.

77% of the listings sold were Coldwell Banker listings.  What does this mean to you? If you are selling you will get greater exposure before your home even goes on the market. If you are buying, you will hear about your home before it hits the market if you are working with Coldwell Banker in Davis.

Overall in year to date sales, Davis is down 46% from this time 2007.  Interestingly, the very down nearby markets are up from 2007 - Woodland +27%, Natomas +37%, Elk Grove +36% and West Sacramento is +18%.  Investors are coming in hoards to the land of short sales and foreclosures.

Back to Davis, here is a snapshot of price per square foot for two ranges of homes:

                                      1200 - 1600 sq ft homes         2000 - 2500 sq ft homes

2005                                $372/sf                                       $325/ sf

2006                                $353/sf                                       $313/sf

2007                                $337 /sf                                       $310/sf

2008                                $323/sf                                        $290/sf

Overall prices are down an average of 11% from the height of the market in 2005.

-Jamie Madison

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Davis Liked It : Roe Building Sold Out!

            

     

All of the citizens of Davis and interested parties from afar were intensely curious and interested in the Roe Building during its conception, construction and recent completion.  We heard all kinds of comments - mostly favorable, in fact enthusiastic - and gave over 120 private tours of the building (thanks to you who braved the scaffolding in the rain).  And now it is sold.  Kim Merrell Lamb and I anticipate that it will be an interesting community - people of all ages, some dogs, a shared courtyard, an active homeowners association.  Many asked if they could be on the list to rent if investors were buying, but in fact, every unit is going to be owner occuppied.  We learned that my demographic (children raised, 1.7 people living in 4 bedroom 2800 sq ft homes and tired of caring for them) has a very real need for a new kind of housing, and little to satisfy it.  More about that coming up when I write about Sage Creek

Kim and I wish to thank all of you who showed interest, offered comments and supported our efforts (yes, that includes a boyfriend and a husband, respectively.)  We want to express heartfelt thanks to the enduring efforts of Mark Rutheiser and Chuck Roe, to the puzzle-solving of mortgage broker Greg Fulkerson, to the staging talents of Mary Leachman and to all who played a role in this creative and successful project.

-Jamie Madison, 530.574.0596

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Bubbletown Not Immune:Davis Home Sales Q1 2007 vs 2008

It’s spring!  Davis is gorgeous - trees have leafed, wisteria is blooming, birds are wildly busy feeding babies …and homes are selling - sort of.  Inventory is up and open house signs once again grace the corners of Davis all weekend.  But, a bubble we may be, we are not immune to the forces of the economy.  Figures for single family home sales are out for the first quarter of 2008:

                                    2007                          2008

Number sold             101                             48                          -53%

Median price             $520k                      $512k

Average price            $558k                      $559k

Days/market              85                             84

Total Revenue           $112.8m                 $53.7m                   -53%

Takeaway?  It is a good time to be a buyer!  There are some great homes on the market and the prices are the best we have seen in years.    -  Jamie Madison

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Davis Home Sales Feb/Mar 2007 vs 2008

Buyers questions are dominated by the quest to understand where we are in the market….have Davis prices dropped?  will they drop more? if I buy now am I going to regret what I spent in 6 months?  should I rent? should I wait? we are pregant, can we upgrade to a larger home in this market? will it appraise? 

The chart above compares February and March of 2007 and 2008.  There are 36% fewer homes sold in 2008.  For the higher end homes, we are seeing much shorter sales times on the market, and a whopping 100.35% sales price to list price ratio. But for lower priced homes we are seeing a $25/sq ft drop and a 37 day increase of cummulative days on the market.

My guess is that sellers who have traded up to larger, more expensive homes in the good years are content to stay put in this market. Where are they going to go?

Sellers, brace yourself for a longer wait to sell. Buyers, ask yourself, how long do you plan to live in this house?  If this is going to be your peaceful respit for at least 5 years to come, settle in.   You may very well be laughing at the price AND the interest rate you got a few years from now.

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Davis Home Prices : 20 Year View

With the abundant news of the mortgage disaster swirling around us, it seems like a good time to take the long view and consider the history of prices in Davis over the past 20 years - the center figure is the median price:

1987        $118,000

1988        $154,300        +21%

1989        $192,000        +25%  

1990        $234,700        +22%

1991        $246,600        +5%

1992        $243,200        (2%)

1993        $205,200        (16%)

1994        $187,900        (8%)

1995        $191,600        +2%

1996        $195,400        +2%

1997        $203,500        +5%

1998        $213,300        +4%

1999        $231,500        +9%

2000       $266,600        +15%

2001        $318,700        +19.5%

2002        $393,300       +24%

2003        $438,660        +11.5%

2004        $514,700        +17.3%

2005        $605,900        +17.7%

2006       $601,100        (1%)

2007        $571,100        (5%)

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2007 vs 2008: Davis Housing 3 Month Snapshot

There were 16 homes on the Coldwell Banker realtor tour in Davis yesterday - signs that although late, spring inventory is finally starting to come in.  For those of you from out of town, the listings you look at will seem like a throwback to 2005.  Prices are still up, homes are better prepared than they were 3 years ago, but they are still Davis homes - sometimes needing a little updating or staging.  Ad could read “average home, comes with wonderful town”.

TIP: If you are looking for a gorgeous updated Streng (mid-century modern) tucked away on a lush, quiet cul-de-sac in the center of town, call me to see 826 Cherry Lane. It is an awesome treat!

STILL STRANGE: We are still seeing certain homes selling quickly for over asking price in multiple offers (Almond Lane, Dartmouth, Pine Lane) while other perfectly good homes languish without offers.  The schism is so noticeable yet hard to explain.  One thing about the homes that sell quickly, they are clean, bright, well priced and thoughtfully prepared for market.

FEW CONDOS:  We are up to 28 condos on the market  - they are either built in 1972 or they are brand new - not much in between.  Price range is $239k for a McKeon Condo to $529k for the exciting downtown Roe Building Unit 201.  Average price is $351k with an average of 42 days on the market.  I have several condo searches going on and it is not easy to find the happy medium.

THE NUMBERS: Here is a comparison of the period from 12/1 - 3/7 for both 06/07 and 07/08  for Davis only:

Number of units:     91      vs       48

Median price:        $508k   vs   $514k

Days/market:          87       vs      85

Average price:     $552k    vs    $521k

For January and February for the 2006, 2007 and 2008:

Price per sq/ft        $363    vs    $319    vs.    $309

For more information, contact Jamie Madison at 530.574.0596 

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